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Post by weallloveleeds on Dec 2, 2006 19:17:56 GMT -1
That was being generous, wins against Barnleh and Hull and a drab 0-0 draw at Colchester. Football's full of upsets. You'll get more than that. Stop being overly pessimistic. As alex says, it could be a lot worse. |
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:18:04 GMT -1
The way these sides currently look, I'd say Town's list offers 10pts at best, but I can quite feasibly see only 5pts in the Leicester one...  |
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leicesterlass
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Post by leicesterlass on Dec 2, 2006 19:19:30 GMT -1
The way these sides currently look, I'd say Town's list offers 10pts at best, but I can quite feasibly see only 5pts in the Leicester one... And I thought 7 was bad!! |
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:20:05 GMT -1
That was being generous, wins against Barnleh and Hull and a drab 0-0 draw at Colchester. Football's full of upsets. You'll get more than that. Stop being overly pessimistic. As alex says, it could be a lot worse. Could be a lot worse indeed. Ultimately everyone feels like this when they're club's doing crap. You'll get all the Cardiff fans complaining now saying they're gonna throw it away because Chopra's only averaging 0.8 goals a game now...  Ipswich only saved last season with an amazing run between January and March, so who knows what could happen. |
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:22:39 GMT -1
The way these sides currently look, I'd say Town's list offers 10pts at best, but I can quite feasibly see only 5pts in the Leicester one... And I thought 7 was bad!! I know! Lol! I was being my ultra-pessimistic self: December: Sat 9 15:00 A Wolves L 2-0 Sat 16 15:00 H Barnsley W 2-0 Sat 23 15:00 H Cardiff City L 1-3 Tue 26 15:00 A Hull City D 1-1 Sat 30 15:00 A Southampton L 0-1 January Mon 1 15:00 H Sunderland L 0-2 Sat 13 15:00 A Colchester D 2-2 Fri 19 19:45 H Birmingham L 0-2 Tue 30 19:45 A Cardiff City L 3-0 That is really bad form though, surely it can't be as bad as that. Not win at Hull? or Colchester? |
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Post by Bobcat Robinson on Dec 2, 2006 19:24:46 GMT -1
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leicesterlass
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Post by leicesterlass on Dec 2, 2006 19:31:32 GMT -1
And someone shoot Josh Low. Please.  I would. |
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:31:34 GMT -1
Here's why I said 10pts for Town: | Date | Opposition | Pos 21/11 | H/A | 02/12/06
09/12/06
16/12/06
23/12/06
26/12/06
30/12/06
01/01/07
13/01/07
20/01/07
30/01/07 | Burnley
Cardiff
Leeds
Stoke
Coventry
West Brom
Birmingham
Sunderland
Colchester
Stoke | 4th
1st
22nd
7th
11th
6th
3rd
16th
14th
7th | H
A
H
H
A
A
H
A
H
A | D 1-1
L 2-0
W 1-0
D 2-2
D 1-1
L 3-0
D 1-1
L 2-0
W 3-1
L 3-2 |
We should've beaten Leeds at Portman Road last season so I'd think we could do it this year. When we went to Birmingham, we ended their 100% home record in a bloody good 2-2 draw, so maybe we could get the same thing at home....? Really should beat Colchester at Portman Road. The draws at home to Stoke and away to Coventry are similar to recent years when we've played them, but certainly we'd be defeated by West Brom, Cardiff, Sunderland and Stoke away. It's all very jolly, isn't it... |
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Post by weallloveleeds on Dec 2, 2006 19:33:22 GMT -1
Here's why I said 10pts for Town: | Date | Opposition | Pos 21/11 | H/A | 02/12/06
09/12/06
16/12/06
23/12/06
26/12/06
30/12/06
01/01/07
13/01/07
20/01/07
30/01/07 | Burnley
Cardiff
Leeds
Stoke
Coventry
West Brom
Birmingham
Sunderland
Colchester
Stoke | 4th
1st
22nd
7th
11th
6th
3rd
16th
14th
7th | H
A
H
H
A
A
H
A
H
A | D 1-1
L 2-0
W 1-0
D 2-2
D 1-1
L 3-0
D 1-1
L 2-0
W 3-1
L 3-2 |
We should've beaten Leeds at Portman Road last season so I'd think we could do it this year. When we went to Birmingham, we ended their 100% home record in a bloody good 2-2 draw, so maybe we could get the same thing at home....? Really should beat Colchester at Portman Road. The draws at home to Stoke and away to Coventry are similar to recent years when we've played them, but certainly we'd be defeated by West Brom, Cardiff, Sunderland and Stoke away. It's all very jolly, isn't it... We should have beaten you at ER last season we played you off the pitch, but it's irrelevant as it's a very different team this season! |
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:49:49 GMT -1
Who wants to get more depressed? This is NCA's "averages so far" statistical method of prediction. If Leicester carry on for the rest of the season like they have since the start of the season, this is how they'll finish: Leicester 46 11 15 21 44 61 -17 48 Now there are 3 things I must stress: 1. This changes after every single game. If Leicester were to win the next two (negating the quality of the opposition), the predicted end-of-season points total would suddenly shoot up to 56. So it's not really a very good method. 2. It hinges on the idea that Leicester will go through exactly the same kind of "great unbeaten run then crap losing run" form they've been going through so far. 3. The past record of this method is not hugely accurate. I used it in mid-January last season and although it wasn't far off in suggesting obvious things e.g. that Reading would finish top of the Championship with 115pts (ended up as 105) or that Sunderland would finish bottom of the Premiership with only 11pts (finished with 15), it was wrong in suggesting that Liverpool would finish above Man Utd, and was well off in suggesting that Leicester would finish 21st with only 46pts when they actually finished 16th with 54. SO THERE IS STILL HOPE YET!!! Put it this way - despite the disaster of this season so far, Leicester only need 4 more points from their next 7 games to equal your tally after 28 matches last season. That's how bad last season was. IT'S NOT THAT BAD NOW. LOOK AT IT THAT WAY. |
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leicesterlass
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Post by leicesterlass on Dec 2, 2006 19:50:40 GMT -1
Yay, exalted NCA!
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Post by NoCanariesAllowed (Ipswich'02) on Dec 2, 2006 19:56:59 GMT -1
Lol! Cheers!
I started using this method to prove to myself that because Ipswich were in brilliant form during January last season that if we kept it up then the playoffs were still within reach...
...then we only won 1 of our last 10 matches, losing 6 of them...
In the second half of the season my predicted end-of-season points total varied wildly. In early February, it was 69, by the end of March it was 54. Sadly by March it was far more accurate - we finished with 56pts, one place above Leicester!
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Post by GeoFox on Dec 3, 2006 1:05:54 GMT -1
quite frankly we are an embarassment at the moment. I am ashamed, People can blame Rob Styles all they like but at the end of the day we were fucking shit before the penalty with pretty much no attacking threat whatsoever.
Our players should be able to control theirselves though and the second half was a disgrace.
Oh we sooo need Mandaric in before the transfer window. Relegation material through and through. And whats more I'm fed up of Huhges and others coming out saying we're unlucky and its only a matter of time. We're not, we're crap and largely as a result of a non-existant midfield!
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leicesterlass
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Post by leicesterlass on Dec 3, 2006 8:49:57 GMT -1
quite frankly we are an embarassment at the moment. I am ashamed, People can blame Rob Styles all they like but at the end of the day we were fucking shit before the penalty with pretty much no attacking threat whatsoever. Our players should be able to control theirselves though and the second half was a disgrace. Oh we sooo need Mandaric in before the transfer window. Relegation material through and through. And whats more I'm fed up of Huhges and others coming out saying we're unlucky and its only a matter of time. We're not, we're crap and largely as a result of a non-existant midfield! That's the attitude that's pissing me off the most, in his captain's comments Paddy Mac said something along those lines and that's exactly the attitude that's got us into this mess. It's not just a matter of time before we pick up points, quite frankly we're useless at the minute so something must change, we shouldn't wait for a few lucky results |
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